co-moves with financial market volatility, while long-run uncertainty is more highly correlated with economic policy …

to summarize a variety of uncertainty measures, such as financial-market volatility, economic-policy uncertainty, survey …

We investigate the extent to which various structural risks exacerbate the materialization of cyclical risk. We use a … role in explaining the severity of cyclical and credit risk materialization during financial cycle contractions. Among …

This paper considers the linkages between output growth and output volatility for the sample of G7 countries over the … volatility are highly intertwined, with spillovers taking place into all four directions; ii) the importance of spillovers has … been the largest transmitter of output and volatility shocks to other countries. Generalized impulse response analyses …

access to credit to one characterized by tight credit whenever the bond risk premium exceeds a critical threshold. US …

We document how firm-specific volatility in sales, earnings and employment growth evolved year by year in Japan. Our … volatility measure also indicates the evolution of firm turnover. We find that patterns in firm-specific volatility have changed …. Firm volatility tended to decline during the recovery after 2002. We assess whether the rise in firm turnover and deep …

We document how firm-specific volatility in sales, earnings and employment growth evolved year by year in Japan. Our … volatility measure also indicates the evolution of firm turnover. We find that patterns in firm-specific volatility have changed …. Firm volatility tended to decline during the recovery after 2002. We assess whether the rise in firm turnover and deep …

We extend the class of GARCH models to comprise asymmetric and nonlinear effects on volatility. In particular, we do … not only explain future volatility of a time series on its own past, but allow for external influences and spillovers …