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We examine the impact of Seasonal Affective Disorder (SAD) on financial analysts. We hypothesize and find that analysts are more pessimistic, less precise, and more asymmetric in their boldness in the fall, as indicated by their forecasts of quarterly earnings. The effects are apparent in all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012945664
This paper examines the effects of superstitious psychology on investors’ decision making in the context of Mercury retrograde, a special astronomical phenomenon meaning “everything going wrong.” Using natural experiments in the Chinese stock market, we find that stock prices fall...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013296815
We test the implications of anchoring bias associated with forecast earnings per share (FEPS) for forecast errors, earnings surprises, stock returns, and stock splits. We find that analysts make optimistic (pessimistic) forecasts when a firm's FEPS is lower (higher) than the industry median....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092369
Extending price momentum tests to the longest available histories of global financial assets, including country equities, government bonds, currencies, commodities, sectors and U.S. stocks, we create a 215-year history of cross-sectional multi-asset momentum, and confirm the significance of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971740
We measure the information content of monthly analyst consensus forecasts for one-year-forward earnings per share (EPS) based on two well-established price discovery measures drawn from the area of market micro-structure research. Employing a 36-year sample of large US companies listed in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855551
This study shows that (1) Australian analysts are optimistic in their forecasts and underreact to new information, (2) the continuous disclosure (CD) regime has a negative impact on forecast optimism and dispersion, (3) analyst forecast bias is associated with certain firm characteristics, (4)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013145311
Using a large database of Japanese analysts' rating information over the period 2000-2010, we examine short term market reactions to the announcement. We find a significant market reaction to the information contained in the analysts' rating. Particularly, the market reacts sensitively to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080925
The main purpose of this study is to address the association between investors’ divergence of opinion (DIVOP) and stock mispricing for UK firms listed in the London Stock Exchange Market. Previous research on this topic has provided mixed results. Some studies provide evidence consistent with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012489255
The brokerage firms and financial institutions recommend for buying and selling shares throughout the year. The objective of the paper is to investigate whether there is any scope to earn higher return than the market on the basis of recommendation offered. This paper has considered one eighty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048629
Because dividends are taxed at a higher rate than capital gains, as stock with a higher yields should have a higher expected return than a stock whose return is expected to result mostly from price appreciation. Adding yield to the traditional Security Market Line results in a "market plane"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928355