This is the first of a “Gambling for Quants” series that discusses the science of gambling for quantitatively trained market practitioners. Part 1 describes the well-known Kelly Criterion fractional betting system for simple coin flips. Most of the important ideas are understandable in this...

The optimization of a large random portfolio under the Expected Shortfall risk measure with an ℓ₂ regularizer is carried out by analytical calculation. The regularizer reins in the large sample fluctuations and the concomitant divergent estimation error, and eliminates the phase transition...

This paper provides expressions for solutions of a one-dimensional global optimization problem using an adjoint variable which represents the available one-sided improvements up to the interval “horizon.” Interpreting the problem in terms of optimal stopping or optimal starting, the solution...

In this paper, we propose a method for hedge fund replication using a factor-based model supplemented with a series of risk and return constraints that implicitly target all the moments of the hedge fund return distribution. We use the approach to replicate the monthly returns of ten broad hedge...

It is now an accepted fact that the majority of financial markets worldwide are neither normal nor constant, and South Africa is no exception. One idea that can be used to understand such markets and has been gaining popularity recently is that of regimes and regime-switching models. In this...

The significant excess of the price of risk, research question in the version paper, [S. Chule, in Applied Mathematical Finance, submitted June 2016], is space-domain form re-evaluated into the stochastic problem objective of the premium risk. The adapts of the conventional generic replication...

The risky assets prices of the bi-variate model are reviewed under the hegemonize concentration filtered physical probability space. In the stochastic variance of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. The Mean-variance hedging expanse on the Föllmer-Schweizer decomposition is stringent to the...

We introduce a generic solver for dynamic portfolio allocation problems when the market exhibits return predictability, price impact and partial observability. We assume that the price modeling can be encoded into a linear state-space and we demonstrate how the problem then falls into the LQG...

In this paper we study a class of infinite horizon fully coupled forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs), that are stimulated by various continuous time future expectations models with random coefficients. Under standard Lipschitz and monotonicity conditions, and by means of...