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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191433
, thereby lowering interest rate volatility and contributing to economic stability. Most empirical studies support this view … volatility. To extend the literature, I use the Dincer and Eichengreen (2007) transparency index for twenty-four economies of … varying income and examine the impact of transparency on both predictability and market volatility. I find that higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130516
contrast, price volatility is always less than the variance of the aggregate shock across all information structures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862865
This paper explores how speculators can destabilize financial markets by amplifying negative shocks. During periods of turmoil created by an uncertainty shock, speculators react to declining asset prices by liquidating their holdings in hopes of buying them back later at a gain, despite the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007006
private information influences aggregate volatility. The maximal aggregate volatility is attained in a noise free information …, as in Lucas. For any given variance of aggregate shocks, the upper bound on aggregate volatility is linearly increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045592
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We build an equilibrium model to explain why stock return predictability concentrates in bad times. The key feature is that investors use different forecasting models, and hence assess uncertainty differently. As economic conditions deteriorate, uncertainty rises and investors' opinions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721618
Many important statistics in macroeconomics and finance — such as cross-sectional dispersions, risk, volatility, or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936010
S&P 500 Index option-based volatility indexes have untenable risk-return profiles. These volatility indexes are not … designed with consideration of important real-world risk characteristics of options and fail to represent volatility as a … cardinal characteristics of options on S&P 500 Index, central to designing viable volatility investment strategies, are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865881
We study dynamic signaling in a game of stochastically evolving stakes. Our motivating example is dynamic limit pricing in markets with persistent demand shocks. An incumbent is privately informed about its costs, high or low, and can deter a potential entrant by setting prices strategically....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899655