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Accurate real-time macroeconomic data are essential for policy-making and economic nowcasting. In this paper, I introduce a real-time database for German regional economic accounts (READ-GER). The database contains real-time information for nine macroeconomic aggregates and the 16 German states....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014232863
This paper focuses on testing non-stationary real-time data for forecastability, i.e., whether data revisions reduce noise or are news, by putting data releases in vector-error correction forms. To deal with historical revisions which affect the whole vintage of time series due to redefinitions,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890399
This article explains the purpose, reasons and size of revisions in German national accounts. It presents the results of the revision carried out in the summer of 2022 for the past four reporting years and describes special features, including those caused by the coronavirus pandemic.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013455845
In Denmark official quarterly national accounts are only available for the period since 1977. The paper constructs a set of summary non-seasonally adjusted quarterly national accounts for Denmark for 1948-2010 in current and constant prices as well as a set of other key quarterly macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102102
Germany, which enter the statistics on hours worked in the national accounts. … und unbezahlter Überstunden sowie von Saldenveränderungen auf Arbeitszeitkonten in Deutschland angewandt, die Eingang in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011309972
Data revisions to national accounts pose a serious challenge to policy decision making. Well-behaved revisions should be unbiased, small and unpredictable. This paper shows that revisions to German national accounts are biased, large and predictable. Moreover, using filtering techniques designed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034636
Accurate real-time macroeconomic data are essential for policy-making and economic nowcasting. In this paper, I introduce a real-time database for German regional economic accounts (READ-GER). The database contains real-time information for nine macroeconomic aggregates and the 16 German states....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014290225
The paper deals with the estimation of monthly indicators of economic activity for the Euro area and its largest member countries that possess the following attributes: relevance, representativeness and timeliness. Relevance is obtained by referring our monthly indicators to gross domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010402282
This paper constructs internationally consistent measures of macroeconomic uncertainty. Our econometric framework extracts uncertainty from revisions in data obtained from standardized national accounts. Applying our model to quarterly post-WWII real-time data, we estimate macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012228723
We consider the cyclical properties of the German economy prior and after reunification in 1990 from the perspective of a real business cycle model. The model provides the framework for the selection and consistent measurement of the variables whose time series properties characterize the cycle....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010375297