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We present empirical evidence that firms inflate earnings around seasoned equity offerings in the presence of large outsider blockholdings, but not in their absence. The finding is robust to several alternative explanations, including differences in firm characteristics, growth, performance, CEO...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116721
commonly viewed as industry specialists, we fail to find evidence that analysts have an information advantage over managers at … the industry level. The two have comparable abilities to forecast earnings for firms with revenues or earnings that are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107227
forecasts is found to be correlated with indicators of bias in a manner consistent with investors discounting optimistic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862149
future. In addition, we draw on some contemporary measures of forecast quality (prediction-realization diagram, test of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799168
quality from “good/excellent” to “severely polluted” is associated with a more than 1 percentage point lower profit forecast …, relative to realized profits. We explore heterogeneity in the pollution-forecast relation to understand better the underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866714
We present evidence of first impression bias among finance professionals in the field. Equity analysts' forecasts …, target prices, and recommendations suffer from first impression bias. If a firm performs particularly well (poorly) in the … negativity bias, we find that negative first impressions have a stronger effect than positive ones. The market adjusts for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849770
This paper provides evidence of confirmation bias by sell-side analysts in their earnings forecasts. We show that … analysts tend to put higher weight on public information when the current forecast consensus is more consistent with their … earlier, or facing less dispersion in peer forecasts, tend to be more subject to confirmation bias, consistent with some of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239800
This study examines whether firms’ political activism induces bias in the media’s coverage of earnings announcements … incongruent media outlets. Our results suggest that the prevalent bias across some media outlets in their coverage of political …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250612
Variance after-effect is a perceptual bias in the dynamic assessment of variance. Experimental evidence shows that … construct a proxy of the adjustment factor using the sequence of dispersion of analysts earnings forecast. We provide empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487731
analysts’ forecast accuracy. We study whether analysts strategically manage decision fatigue. Firms within an analyst … lower, and the tendency to do so is further enhanced if the firm is also more difficult/complex to forecast. Analysts with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404486