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alternative measures of uncertainty. We also find that expected volatility reflects managers' private information about their … predictive power of expected volatility shrinks when managers have stronger incentives to manage earnings. Overall, we provide … forecast volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846404
Republican CEOs are more likely to issue earnings forecasts and to issue forecasts that are more accurate and timely. Republican CEOs favor range and less optimistic forecasts, convey more negative news, and have more positive earnings surprises. We address endogeneity using propensity score...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829808
. The failure of management to attain a forecast may reflect poorly on its industry understanding, knowledge of the firm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585955
Managers often explain their earnings forecasts by linking forecasted performance to their internal actions and the … investors should consider when forecasting earnings. We investigate why managers choose to provide attributions with their … absolute price reactions to management forecasts, more negative price reactions to management forecasts (forecast news held …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012710172
We examine the relation between managerial ability and management forecast accuracy. We find that forecast accuracy is … positively associated with managerial ability in the case of sales forecasts. Specifically, more able managers are associated … with lower magnitude's forecast errors in the case of sales forecasts. Additional analysis finds that managerial ability is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931519
forecast news is stronger. These effects are more pronounced when the GC's managerial status is higher. Overall, our results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856929
expectations. We therefore hypothesize that convex equity incentives, which reward managers for stock price gains while limiting … document a significantly positive association between equity incentive convexity and forecast issuance and frequency. This … suggests that the risks arising from providing voluntary disclosures are important considerations in managers' disclosure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824529
managers' prediction of cost behavior of their company. Forecasted costs are available by subtracting forecasted earnings from … because earnings are the aggregated measure of sales and costs. The major findings of this paper are that managers … direction of change in sales. These findings imply that optimistic bias in management earnings forecasts can partly be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077546
earnings depends on the assumption that managers can accurately assess future earnings prospects. In this regard, we posit that … the predictive ability of dividends can vary with managers’ forecasting ability. Analyzing a large sample of Japanese …-forecasting ability managers. Our findings support the signaling theory of dividend changes and indicate that management forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322005
activities. This study finds that forecast accuracy increases, while forecast dispersion and revision volatility decrease with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403804