We present an order flow model framework for limit order driven markets. Different from previous models we explicitly model a reference price process that “sweeps” the limit order book as it fluctuates up and down. Our framework allows us to use any stochastic process to model this reference...

Momentum trading strategies are thoroughly described in the academic literature and used in many trading strategies by hedge funds, asset managers, and proprietary traders. Baz et al. (2015) describe a momentum strategy for different asset classes in great detail from a practitioner's point of...

Convolutional neural networks (CNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks have become a staple of sequence learning. Due to the well-established fact that financial time series data exhibit exceptionally noisy characteristics, capital market anomalies are virtually impossible to detect. We...

The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Volatility Index, often referred to as VIX Volatility Index (VIX), is considered by many market participants as a common measure of market risk and investors' sentiment. It is also sometimes called the fear index. In general, the VIX represents the...

We show the statistical properties of the most important cryptocurrencies, of which Bitcoin is the most prominent example. We characterize their exchange rates versus the US Dollar by fitting parametric distributions to them. It is shown that returns are clearly non-normal, with standard...

Cryptocurrencies became popular with the emergence of Bitcoin and have shown an unprecedented growth over the last few years. As of November 2016, more than 720 cryptocurrencies exist, with Bitcoin still being the most popular one. We provide both a statistical analysis as well as an extreme...

We provide an extreme value analysis of the returns of Bitcoin. A particular focus is on the tail risk characteristics and we will provide an in-depth univariate extreme value analysis. Those properties will be compared to the traditional exchange rates of the G10 currencies versus the US...

Monte Carlo simulation methods for the valuation of financial instruments have become a staple of empirical economic analysis. A specific focus is dedicated to the feasibility of the stock price losses and barrier options as well as the sensitivity of partial time barrier options in dependence...

Carry trading is one of the most popular currency trading strategies. The aim of this paper is to apply and analyze the approach described in Baz et al. (2015) by utilizing the G10 currency cross rates and the 3-month Libor rates. The carry trading strategy is well documented and widely used by...