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Real wages in the United States have continued to stagnate in the years since the end of the Great Recession. This … paper attributes this stagnation directly to the prolonged period of high unemployment. It notes research showing that the … unemployment in the late 1990s. Given current economic and political trends, it is unlikely that we will again see a level of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010960423
changes in aggregate demand, when inflation is rising and unemployment falling unexpectedly, also come with persistent long …-term effects on expected employment and labor force participation, suggesting positive hysteresis. Our forecast evaluation tests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868467
time, this paper estimates that U.S. workers will have lost over $1 trillion in wages and salaries, $150 billion more than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008545825
unemployment, several European economies display highly persistent unemployment dynamics. The theory of hysteresis challenges this … strong empirical evidence of unemployment hysteresis in advanced economies since the 1990s. Relying on an identification … adjustment of real wages, removing disincentives for firms to hire and for workers to be employed, and improving the matching …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012130633
We develop a growth model with unemployment due to imperfections in the labor market. In this model, wage inertia and … equilibrium paths. Hysteresis is viewed as the result of a selection between these different equilibrium paths. We use this model … of the 1970?s may have played a central role in generating hysteresis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276428
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010512305
The US economy grew reasonably fast during the last quarter of 2010, and the general expectation is that satisfactory growth will continue in 2011-12. The expansion may, indeed, continue into 2013. But with large deficits in both the government and foreign sectors, satisfactory growth in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128529
The Great Recession has left tens of millions of families facing unemployment, underemployment and the threat of losing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008563396
Recently governments, economists, and international financial institutions have been debating the merits of further fiscal stimulus to combat the Great Recession versus fiscal austerity or “adjustment” – that is, higher taxes and/or lower government spending – to combat budget deficits....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008671782
increased unemployment by 61.0 per cent decrease in the variation in expected inflation associated with a unit change in the … variation between the potential and actual rates of unemployment over the study horizon, which confirms theoretical expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011881294