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futures prices for U.S. core inflation. The proposed aggregator reduces the out-of-sample root mean squared error for 12-month …-ahead inflation forecasts of the benchmark AR(1) model by 28 percent (20 percent) for the PCE (CPI) measure of core inflation. To …
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Mexico's non core inflation. We utilize monthly panel data of the price index of each vegetable at the city level which we …
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about 2.0%, while the lagged effect is between 1.0% and 2.5%, depending on the timing of the shock within the crop's growing …
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The inflation surge in recent years is having profound social, economic, and political consequences. With food price … changes being an integral part of inflation, low income segments of the population are strongly impacted. What makes this … phenomenon shows that inflation is increasingly synchronised across borders. This study examines price developments across …
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inflation rates and a decline in economic activity. Against this economic backdrop, this paper aims to address the strained …
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