Showing 91 - 100 of 1,587
In this paper, we consider a decision-maker who tries to learn the distribution of outcomes from previously observed cases. For each observed database of cases the decision-maker predicts a set of priors expressing his beliefs about the underlying probability distribution. We impose a version of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270218
A game-theoretic framework that allows for explicitly randomized strategies is used to study the e ect of ambiguity … predictions of two player games with ambiguity averse and with ambiguity neutral players are observationally equivalent. This … beliefs to the context of ambiguity aversion yields substantially di erent predictions even for the case with just two players. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270432
We develop a theory of optimal stopping problems under ambiguity in continuous time. Using results from (backward … from the agent's ambiguity aversion. We show how to use these general results for search problems and American Options. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272549
We model and solve Best Choice Problems in the multiple prior framework: An ambiguity averse decision maker aims to … choose the best among a fixed number of applicants that appear sequentially in a random order. The decision faces ambiguity … stopping strategy is simple. Ambiguity can lead to substantial differences to the classical threshold rule. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272556
In this paper we give an alternative characterization for time-consistent sets of measures in a discrete setting. For each measure P in a time-consistent set Ρ we get a distinct set of predictable processes which in return decribe the P uniquely. This implies we get a one-to-one correspondence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272594
We study a dynamic and infinite-dimensional model with Knightian uncertainty modeled by incomplete multiple prior preferences. In interior efficient allocations, agents share a common risk-adjusted prior and use the same subjective interest rate. Interior efficient allocations and equilibria...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272617
We consider optimal stopping problems for ambiguity averse decision makers with multiple priors. In general, backward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272620
Individuals exhibit a randomization preference if they prefer random mixtures of two bets to each of the involved bets. Such preferences provide the foundation of various models of uncertainty aversion. However, it has to our knowledge not been empirically investigated whether uncertainty-averse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273612
We examine the impact of ambiguity on economic behaviour. We present a relatively non-technical account of ambiguity … and show how it may be applied in economics. Optimistic and pessimistic responses to ambiguity are formally modelled. We … also examine the effects of ambiguity on peace processes. It is shown that ambiguity can act to select equilibria in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274362
We provide an evolutionary foundation to evidence that in some situations humans maintain optimistic or pessimistic attitudes towards uncertainty and are ignorant to relevant aspects of the environment. Players in strategic games face Knightian uncertainty about opponents' actions and maximize...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276584