As the performance of long-term projects is not observable in the short run politicians may pander to public opinion … contracts, and democratic elections. An information market is used to predict the long-term performance of a policy, while … to stand for reelection. Reelection thresholds are offered by politicians during campaigns. We show that, on balance, the …

and the subsequent pursuit of a Congressional career. The empirical approach uses a sample of mixed-gender elections to … election relative to an analogous impact for men who closely win or lose a state legislature election. We find that the effect …

In this paper we analyze the 2019 EP elections from the voters' perspective. It is based on a novel post … following questions: How important were the lead candidates in the election campaign? Which issues were most important for …