Lyu, Yongjian; Yi, Heling; Wei, Yu; Yang, Mo - 2021
In existing literature, economic uncertainty may have positive, negative, or insignificant effect on crude oil prices … conventional assumption on time-invariant market structure. To capture the time-varying market structure, using monthly oil market … data in 2000-2020, we construct a new time-varying parameter oil market model. We confirm that economic uncertainty shocks …