Bizer, Kilian; Meub, Lukas; Proeger, Till; Spiwoks, Markus - 2014
robustness of coordination in a forecasting setting implementing contradictory incentives for accurate forecasts and coordination … consensus values. Strategic coordination can consequently explain poor performances of prediction markets as resulting from the … distinct incentives that forecasters face. While this notion has been considered theoretically and empirically, the underlying …