Purpose – The purpose of this study is to examine real exchange rate misalignment and economic growth in Malaysia. Design/methodology/approach – The result of the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach and the generalized forecast error variance decomposition. Findings – The result...

Proposes to re‐examine empirically the causal relationship between defence spending and economic growth in mainland China. First, using a VAR modelling technique with suitable diagnostics, e.g. Akaike’s FPE statistics and a likelihood ratio test for over‐ and under‐fitting the causal...

Analyses and checks the annual forecasts produced each autumn from four prominent UK economic modelling organizations. Compares these forecasts with those of three Bayesian vector‐autoregressive models. Examines the accuracy for each set of forecasts up to four years ahead and for different...

The objective of this study is to propose an economic model of the nominal money balances and reserves in the Turkish economy during the period 1960‐1988. As most of the variables show unit root non‐stationarity, an approach based on the error correction system (Phillips, 1991) is adopted....