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Following a year in which repeated political turmoil sapped investor confidence in Mexico, putting pressure on the peso …. The resulting collapse of the peso left Mexico with $40 billion to $50 billion in external debt (much of it dollar …-indexed) coming due in the near term and almost no foreign exchange reserves. Faced with the prospect that Mexico would either default …
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This paper estimates a speculative attack model of currency crises in order to identify the role of economic fundamentals and any early warning signals of a potential currency crisis. The data from the Mexican economy was used to illustrate the model. Based on the results, a deterioration in...
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