This article contributes to the literature on macroeconomic announcements and their impact on asset prices by investigating how the 15-second Xetra DAX returns reflect the monthly announcements of the two best known business cycle forecasts for Germany, i.e. the ifo Business Climate Index and...

This paper examines the potential distortion of prices in the CDS market caused by too-big-to-fail. Overall, we find evidence for market discipline in the CDS market. However, CDS prices are distorted due to a size effect which arises when investors expect a public bail-out as a result of...

From a banking supervisory perspective, this paper analyses aspects of market risk of an aggregated trading portfolio comprised of the trading books of 11 German banks with a regulatory approved internal market risk model. Based on real, clean profit and loss data and Value-at-Risk estimates of...

Assessments of investors' risk appetite/aversion stance via indicators often yields results which seem unsatisfactory (see e.g. Illing and Aaron (2005)). Understanding how such indicators work therefore seems essential for further improvements. The present paper seeks to contribute to this...

This paper analyses long- and short-term co-movements between 14 international real estate stock markets based on bivariate testing for cointegration and correlation analysis. The results indicate that there exist strong long-term relationships within economic and geographical regions, but less...

A sizeable literature reports that financial market analysts and forecasters herd for reputational reasons. Using new data from a large survey of professional forecasters' expectations about stock market movements, we find strong evidence that the expected average of all forecasters' forecasts...

We analyze contributions of different markets to price discovery on traded inflation expectations and how it changed during the financial crisis. The quicker information is processed on one market and the less one market is disrupted by the financial crisis the more valuable is its information...

Die empirische Überprüfung von steuerlich bedingten Marktsegmentationen (Steuer-Klientel- Effekten) ergab an den DM-Anleihemärkten asymmetrische Ergebnisse für Anleihen in Abhängigkeit von deren Kurshöhe. Im vorliegenden Beitrag werden diese Resultate durch Friktionen bei der Bildung von...

In dieser Untersuchung wird gezeigt, wie neuere ökonometrische Verfahren zur Modellierung und Prognose von Volatilitäten auf Aktienmärkten eingesetzt werden können. Hierzu werden verschiedene Varianten aus der Klasse der ARCH Modelle und das Markov-Mischungsmodell herangezogen. Die...

Die asymmetrische Besteuerung von Zinseinkünften und Kursgewinnen bei Privatanlegern kann zu Marktsegmentationen führen, die als Steuer-Klientel-Effekte bezeichnet werden. In der vorliegenden empirischen Studie wird dazu erstmals eine systematische quantitative Auswertung an den...