This paper analyses the role of asset prices in comparison to other factors, in particular exchange rates, as a driver of the US trade balance. It employs a Bayesian structural VAR model that requires imposing only a minimum of economically meaningful sign restrictions. We find that equity...

We examine the impact of commodity price changes on the business cycles and capital flows in emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs), distinguishing between their role as a source of shock and as a channel of transmission of global shocks. Our findings reveal that surges in export...

This paper assembles a comprehensive dataset of the currency composition of countries' external balance sheets for 50 economies over the period 1990-2020. We document the following findings: (i) the US dollar and the euro still dominate global external balance sheets; (ii) there were striking...