The paper develops a tail risk forecasting model that incorporates the wealth of economic and financial information available to risk managers. The approach can be viewed as a regularized extension of the two-stage GARCH-EVT model of McNeil and Frey (2000) where we permit a time-varying...

"Quantitative Global Bond Portfolio Management offers a comprehensive discussion of quantitative modelling approaches to managing global bond and currency portfolios. Drawing on practitioner and academic research, as well as the extensive market experience of the authors, the book provides a...

Long-term investors face a common problem-how to maintain the purchasing power of their assets over time and achieve a level of real returns consistent with their investment objectives. While inflation-linked bonds and derivatives have been developed to hedge the effects of inflation, their...

This paper develops a theory of international currency portfolios that holds in general equilibrium, and that is therefore not subject to the criticisms directed at the portfolio balance literature of the 1980s. It shows that, under plausible assumptions about fiscal policy, the relationship...

This paper examines the effects of capital controls on asset prices. A closed-form valuation model by Eun and Janakirimanan (1986) is extended to analyze the impact of three restrictions on international portfolio investment: a percentage quantity constraint on the amount of foreign securities a...

The objectives of this paper are: (1) to analyze an optimal portfolio rebalancing by a fund manager in response to a ""volatility shock"" in one of the asset markets, under sufficiently realistic assumptions about the fund manager''s performance criteria and investment restrictions; and (2) to...

This paper looks at the longer-term challenges pension funds face as population age and key issues to address to enhance their risk management practices and their role as long-term investors. The paper focuses primarily on Japan, the Netherlands, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, and the United...