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This study investigates the role of oil futures price information on forecasting the US stock market volatility using … futures realized volatility. In particular, the multivariate HAR model outperforms the univariate model. Accordingly …, considering the contemporaneous connection is useful to predict the US stock market volatility. Furthermore, these findings are …
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This research examines the correlations between the return volatility of cryptocurrencies, global stock market indices …, and the spillover effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. For this purpose, we employed a two-stage multivariate volatility … and respond well to previous shocks. As a result, financial assets have low unconditional volatility and the lowest risk …
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The incidence of rare but extreme events appears to be significant in worldwide financial markets. In this chapter we apply extreme value theory (EVT) distributions to predict extreme losses of five South African (SA) financial times stock exchange/Johannesburg Stock Exchange (FTSE/JSE) closing...
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This paper investigates the dynamics of international stock return correlations between the U.S., the U.K., Germany and France. Estimated correlations are modeled in an ARDL framework to evaluate how the market-wide uncertainty in the U.S. affects international stock market comovements. Results...
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