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We compare real-time density forecasts for the euro area using three DSGE models. The benchmark is the Smets-Wouters model and its forecasts of real GDP growth and inflation are compared with those from two extensions. The first adds financial frictions and expands the observables to include a...
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(DSGE) model. Using Australian data, we find that, at short forecast horizons, the Bayesian VAR model is assigned the most …
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