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This study demonstrates quantitatively the degree to which uncertainty originates from the revision of data inherent in the real-time estimation of the Japan's equilibrium real interest rate (ERR). It also presents some attempts to reduce that uncertainty. Results show that markedly high...
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This paper discusses the appropriate treatment of outliers in Tankan. Under the current population estimate method, if …. Considering 1) the accuracy of Tankan, 2) the maintenance of its "easy to understand" quality, and 3) the reduction of its work … load, we assume that outliers in Tankan are those which have extremely large impact on the rate of change from the previous …
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The present paper uses survey data on expected consumer price developments to analyse the role of inflation expectations in the inflation process. The survey measures of price expectations are derived from the European Commission's Consumer Survey and from the surveys of professional experts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419361
We estimate the elasticity of intertemporal substitution (EIS) - the elasticity of expected consumption growth with respect to variation in the real interest rate - using subjective expectations from the newly released FRBNY Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE). This dataset is unique, since it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011288682