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Motivated by prediction problems for time series with heavy-tailed marginal distributions, we consider methods based on 'local least absolute deviations' for estimating a regression median from dependent data. Unlike more conventional 'local median' methods, which are in effect based on locally...
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A brief account is given of the methodology and theory for the bootstrap. Methodology is developed in the context of the “equation” approach, which allows attention to be focussed on specific criteria for excellence, such as coverage error of a confidence interval or expected value of a...
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This paper argues for the value of seeing politics as a process that is structured across space and time. A brief review of recent debates about redistribution illustrates the importance of structural features of politics but the limits of Schumpeterian models based on cross-sectional time...
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