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Among political practitioners, there is conventional wisdom about the outcomes of critical and salient legislative votes. 'This vote,' we hear, ' will either win by a little or lose by a lot.' Real-world examples suggest coalition leaders purchase 'hip-pocket' votes and "if you need me" pledges,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014175679
place on their preferences, party, and constituency in roll call voting. Estimation is within a Bayesian IRT framework. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014204935
Using Eurovision Song Contest data from the years 1957 to 2009, we analyze voting biases of the participating countries … are to be positively biased in their voting for one another in the Eurovision song contest. On the other hand, for the … second period (i.e. public vote), we find that the cultural similarity of the voting county with the country they are voting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014205239
Politics in the Council is Janus-faced. There is bargaining with identifiable winners and losers, yet the voting … theoretical models of voting typically assume that actors’ behavior is guided by their positions relative to the proposal and the … status quo. By combining positional data and voting data, we evaluate to what extent voting is driven by salience …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014160480
Parliamentary voting data are used increasingly to analyze the behavior of members of parliament (MPs). These data are …, in the extreme, inferences based on such parliamentary voting records may be meaningless. I thus address the following …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014160528
how voting cohesion might differ between recorded and non-recorded votes as a result of party signalling or disciplining …. We compare pre and post 2009 voting records, which enables us to trace the revealed level of party group cohesion. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014163933
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014245884
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014251755
policy outcomes, then changes in institutions favoring strong parties should lead to a greater effect of party on voting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014122858
This paper develops the symmetric power order, a measure of voting power for multicandidate elections. The measure … generalizes standard pivotality-based voting power measures for binary elections, such as Banzhaf power. At the same time, the … symmetric power order to show that pivotality only measures voting power in monotonic elections, and is not a good measure in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014112437