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Standard approaches to constructing nonparametric confidence bands for functions are frustrated by the impact of bias … overcome this problem, it is common practice to either undersmooth, so as to reduce the impact of bias, or oversmooth, and … thereby introduce an explicit or implicit bias estimator. However, these approaches and others based on nonstandard smoothing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010827533
This paper extends the notion of the rational agent in economics by acknowledging the role of the unconscious in the agent�s decision-making process. It argues that the unconscious can be modelled by a rational agent with his own objective function and set of information. The combination of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008924813
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Microaggregation is a technique for masking confidential data by aggregation. The aim of this paper is to analyze the extent to which microaggregated data can be used for rigorous empirical research. In doing this, I adopt an empirical perspective. I use data from the Technological Innovation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009001202
This paper analyses the statistical properties of annual inflation forecasts prepared by the EBRD for 25 transition countries between 1994 and 2005. The empirical results show that EBRD forecasts are mostly unbiased. Late within-year forecasts are also found to be efficient. Forecast accuracy is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008621998
covariates. Analytic expressions for the first-order bias and second-order mean squared error for this estimator are derived, and … bias-adjusted maximum likelihood estimator, constructed by subtracting the estimated first-order bias from the original … estimator, are investigated in a Monte Carlo experiment. Correcting the estimator for its first-order bias is found to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008581255
This paper investigates, in a simplified macro context, the joint determination of the (incorrect) perceived model and the equilibrium. I assume that the model is designed by a self-interested economist who knows the true structural model, but reports a distorted one so as to influence outcomes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009144736