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Dollar carry trade risk premiums - unlike dollar-neutral or foreign exchange carry risk premiums - are positively … (typically based on untestable claims) in which the variables above are proxies for the latent (quantity of) risk and price of … risk states - and the business cycle - in the U.S. explains the results in the present paper. However, I avoid making this …
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The forward premium anomaly has served as the theoretical foundation of positive returns from currency speculation. Nonlinearity in the relation of currency returns and interest rate differentials should be included in speculator expectations. Within narrow ranges, the counteracting effects of...
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understanding of currency carry trade returns, and invalidates, for example, explanations invoking return skewness and crash risk …
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