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This study proposes and tests an alternative to the extant earnings management explanation for zero and small positive earnings surprises (i.e., analyst forecast errors). We argue that analysts' ability to strategically induce slight pessimism in earnings forecasts varies with the precision of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973956
-portfolio formation volatility is low (high) and the pre-expiration realized volatility is high (low). Apparently, the average option … trader underestimates future volatility before forthcoming earnings announcements, particularly after a period of relatively … low volatility, and overestimates future volatility after recent earnings announcements, particularly after a period of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977389
I dissect stock returns after earnings announcements into their overnight and intraday components and document strong positive abnormal overnight returns for several weeks after both large positive and negative earnings surprises. This finding is in line with attention-induced buying pressure....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850750
Both theory and evidence are mixed regarding the impact on prices of trading on “dark” venues partially exempt from National Market System requirements. Theory predicts that price discovery improves as dark venues siphon noisy uninformed trades, but increased adverse selection reduces...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851717
We propose a tone-based event study to reveal the aggregate abnormal tone dynamics in media articles around earnings announcements. We test whether they convey incremental information that is useful for price discovery for non financial S&P 500 firms. The positive relationship found between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852122
We provide evidence that equity investors with limited attention are slow to incorporate how current oil price changes affect future earnings announcements. A cross-sectional equity trading strategy that exploits this inefficiency yields an annualized Sharpe Ratio of 0.57. Stock prices respond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852476
Since short sellers are considered sophisticated traders and respond to corporate news and public information in a timely manner, corporate earnings announcements containing new information can be used to update the beliefs of short sellers and affect their investment strategies. Abnormal market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854981
We propose that extrapolative beliefs about earnings announcement (EA) returns may contribute to our understanding of EA return patterns. We construct a theoretically-motivated measure of extrapolative investors' expectations based on a stock's recent history of EA returns. We then show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855765
This paper shows investors' lottery preference can attenuate price underreaction to extreme good earnings news. Such news reaffirms investors' preference for stocks with strong ex ante lottery-like features, thereby accelerating price adjustments. We find that PEAD attenuates for stocks with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856036
We compare non-GAAP EPS in annual earnings announcements and proxy statements using hand-collected data from SEC filings. We find that proxies for capital market incentives (contracting incentives) are more highly associated with disclosure of non-GAAP EPS in annual earnings announcements (proxy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856894