The need of accurate forecasts of air passenger numbers to assist managerial decision making for both short and long terms is well recognized and a central problem on both short and long term forecasting is how to handle future trend. The aim of this paper is to develop a demand trend change...

The paper highlights certain results of the Long-term science and technology foresight on key Russia’s economic sectors obtained in 2007–2008. One of the primary goals of the forecast is to determine main science and technology progress trends in major RF economic sectors with due...

Domestic agricultural policy and trade policy are closely linked. Thus, research, including long-term forecasting activities, must take into account the domestic as well as international implications of trade policy issues. The seventh meeting of the Consortium on Trade Research on June 23-24,...

Aging of the population will affect the growth path of all countries. To assess the historical and future importance of this claim we use two popular approaches and evaluate their merits and disadvantages by confronting them to Swedish data. We first simulate an endogenous growth model with...

The paper uses an example from East Siberia to deal with the impact of natural factors on the operation of energy systems (hydraulic and heat power engineering), the methodology and methods of their forecasting, experience of operation of the information-forecasting system and risks to and...

The paper uses an example from East Siberia to deal with the impact of natural factors on the operation of energy systems (hydraulic and heat power engineering), the methodology and methods of their forecasting, experience of operation of the information-forecasting system and risks to and...

We use a model of international and domestic tourist numbers and flows to forecast tourist numbers and emissions from international tourism out to 2100. We find that between 2005 and 2100 international tourism grows by a factor of 12. Not only do people take more trips but these also increase in...

This paper reviews national features in the general evolution of science and technology (S&T) foresight over the last decade. Foresight has made a transition from thematic papers and policy briefs to a complex set of methods integrated in the framework of S&T and innovation policy making....