In this study, we compare the performance of stochastic processes, namely, the Vasicek, Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR), and geometric Brownian motion (GBM) models, with that of machine learning algorithms, such as Random Forest, Support Vector Machine (SVM), and k-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), for...

Since Mandelbrot's seminal work (1963), alpha-stable distributions with infinite variance have been regarded as a more realistic distributional assumption than the normal distribution for some economic variables, especially financial data. After providing a brief survey of theoretical results on...

The Commonwealth of Virginia abolished parole and reformed sentencing for all felony of-fenders committed on or after January 1, 1995. We examine the impact of this legislationon reported crime rates using different time series approaches. In particular, structuraltime series models are...

E-government is recognized as a tool for improving transparency and openness in the public sector and for combatting corruption. Understanding the relationship between e-government development and the level of corruption would allow for a more effective leveraging of related projects in...

It is known that, when in the linear regression model there is a high degree of multicollinearity, the results obtained by using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method are unstable. As a solution to this situation, in this paper we present the raised method, the ridge method and the orthogonal...

Abstract We provide formulae for calculating approximate p-values for the non-standard asymptotic null distributions of a variety of tests used for detecting multiple structural change in a wide range of models. Our approximations are based on simulated quantiles obtained from 100,000...

This paper shows that the LM statistic for testing first order serial correlation in regression models can be computed using the Kalman Filter. It is shown tha.t when there are missing observations, the LM statistic for this tesi is equivalent to the tesi statistic derived by Robinson (1985)...

This paper addresses the problem of approximating the future value distribution of a large and heterogeneous life insurance portfolio which would play a relevant role, for instance, for solvency capital requirement valuations. Based on a metamodel, we first select a subset of representative...