The informational content of different forecasts can be compared by regressing the actual change in a variable to be forecasted on forecasts of the change. We use the procedure in Fair and Shiller (1987) to examine the informational content of three sets of ex ante forecasts: the American...

Intro -- Contents -- Financial Innovation and Economic Crisis: An Introduction -- INVENTORS, PRODUCTS, AND INVESTORS IN FINANCE -- 1 Inventors in Finance: An Impressionistic History of the People Who Have Made Risk Management Work -- 2 Psychology and the Financial Crisis of 2007 - 2008 -- 3...

Intro -- Contents -- Contributors -- Series Foreword -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Entrepreneurship in Europe and the United States -- 3 Europe's Venture Capital Institutions Are Good Enough -- 4 Promoting Entrepreneurship -- 5 Innovations to Foster Risk-Taking and Entrepreneurship -- 6 Europe:...

A framework for comparing real estate valuation systems (including automated valuation models (AVMs) and current appraisal methods) is proposed. The density estimation and profit simulation (DEPS) method measures quality of a valuation system by simulating benefits to the mortgage lender who...