We develop a novel empirical approach to identify the effectiveness of policies against a pandemic. The essence of our approach is the insight that epidemic dynamics are best tracked over stages, rather than over time. We use a normalization procedure that makes the pre-policy paths of the...

German Abstract: Wir entwickeln einen neuartigen empirischen Ansatz, um die Effektivität politischer Maßnahmen gegen Pandemien zu messen. Der Kern unseres Ansatzes besteht darin, dass die Dynamik einer Epidemie am besten über den Zustand der Epidemie, anstatt über den Zeitverlauf beschrieben...

We develop a method that identifies the effects of nationwide policy, i.e., policy implemented across all regions at the same time. The core idea is to track outcome paths in terms of stages rather than time, where a stage of a regional outcome at time t is its location on the support of a...

We develop a method that identifies the effects of nationwide policy, i.e., policy implemented across all regions at the same time. The core idea is to track outcome paths in terms of stages rather than time, where a stage of a regional outcome at time t is its location on the support of a...