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) we provide a general method for Bayesian likelihood estimation of BLE, (3) we estimate the baseline NK model based on U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863197
This paper shows that price rigidity evolves in an economy populated by imperfectly rational agents who experiment with alternative rules of thumb. In the model, firms must set their prices in face of aggregate demand shocks. Their payoff depends on the level of aggregate demand, as well as on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409938
Keynesian model and develop an estimation methodology for the canonical Smets and Wouters (2007) model. A horse race between … account in the estimation. As a policy application, we show that optimal Taylor rules under AR(1) expectations inherit history …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014536990
estimation-based. We conduct several simulations comparing the accuracy of the initial estimates provided by these methods and … how they affect the accuracy of other estimated model parameters. We find evidence against their joint estimation with … attenuated by penalizing the variance of estimation errors. Even so, the joint estimation of learning initials with other model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011573204
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We study the impact of adaptive learning for the design of a robust monetary policy using a small open-economy New Keynesian model. We find that slightly departing from rational expectations substantially changes the way the central bank deals with model misspecification. Learning induces an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292350
We analyze determinacy and stability under learning (E-stability) of rational expectations equilibria in the Blanchard and Galí (2006, 2008) New-Keynesian model of inflation and unemployment, where labor market frictions due to costs of hiring workers play an important role. We derive results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003827166
Expectations about the future are central for determination of current macroeconomic outcomes and the formulation of monetary policy. Recent literature has explored ways for supplementing the benchmark of rational expectations with explicit models of expectations formation that rely on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012725765
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