Purpose With the development and application of mobile internet access, social media represented by Weibo, WeChat, etc. has become the main channel for information release and sharing. High-impact users in social networks are key factors stimulating the large-scale propagation of information...

Long-term forecasts are hard, but also indispensable in personal and policy planning. How could long-term predictions of complex phenomena, such as COVID-19 contagion, be enhanced? While much effort has gone into building predictive models of the pandemic, some have argued that early exponential...

The COVID-19 pandemic is forcing researchers, clinicians, and policymakers to accelerate the evaluation of treatments and vaccines. Critical to these evaluations is the ability to characterize the uncertainty of inferences in clear terms accessible to a broad set of stakeholders with varying...

China’s energy consumption for agricultural production has relied on petroleum and coal with relatively low input from power and other types of energy for a long time. Projections indicate that as China’s existing development trend leads to substantial growth of energy demand for...