We examine the propensity and properties of bond analysts' forecasts on cash flows and earnings. We find that the probability to issue cash flow, relative to earnings, forecasts is greater for bond analysts than for equity analysts, consistent with the notion that cash flow, relative to...

Policymakers fear artificial intelligence (AI) will disrupt labor markets, especially for high-skilled workers. We investigate this concern using novel, task-specific data for security analysts. Exploiting variation in AI's power across stocks, we show analysts with portfolios that are more...

Equity analysts are often hired by firms they cover. I document the extent to which this revolving door phenomenon impairs analysts' independence. I do this by examining the presence of biased research reports issued during the year before analysts are employed by a firm they cover. I find that...

We examine the relation between star analyst rankings and analysts’ forecast performance. To strengthen identification, we explore the exogenous variation in analysts’ incentives generated by the suspension of the New Fortune Star Analyst Contest in China. We find that the reduction in...

We study whether the financial analysts' concern to maintain friendly relationships with firms' managers in order to preserve their access to ‘soft' qualitative information entice them to issue pessimistic (“earnings surprise management” hypothesis) or optimistic (“management access”...

We argue that financial analysts can be viewed as participants of two tournaments (the “All-star” tournament and the intrafirm tournament) and examine whether analysts are incentivized by the tournament compensation structure. Using data from 1991 to 2007, we find that interim losers are...

We investigate whether and to what extent aggregate earnings forecasts by sell-side analysts and forecasts of macroeconomic indicators by economists convey different information about the macroeconomy, and whether such differences have implications for forecast efficiency and the stock market....

We present a two-stage model for the decision making process of financial analysts when issuing earnings forecasts. In the first stage, financial analysts perform a fundamental earnings analysis in which they are, potentially, subject to a behavioral bias. In the second stage analysts can adjust...

This study quantifies firm-specific operating exposure to cumulative unexpected weather variations and examines how it affects earnings predictability and analysts’ forecasts. Two competing hypotheses are tested. The reduction in earnings seasonality hypothesis posits that operating weather...

We create an alternative, simpler definition of analyst forecast timeliness leaders based on their response after the corporate quarterly earnings announcements, examining if these analysts’ forecasts are superior in informativeness and accuracy. Our Earnings Announcement Date Leader...