The selection of an appropriate model is a fundamental step of the data analysis in small area estimation. Bias corrections to the Akaike information criterion, AIC, and to the Kullback symmetric divergence criterion, KIC, are derived for the Fay–Herriot model. Furthermore, three...

In this paper, we estimate a logit mixture vector autoregressive (Logit-MVAR) model describing monetary policy transmission in the euro area over the period 1999..2015. MVARs allow us to differentiate between different states of the economy. In our model, the state weights are determined by an...

An approach to model-based small area estimation under covariate measurement errors is presented. Using a min-max approach, we proof that regularized regression coefficient estimation is equivalent to robust optimization under additive noise. Applying this equivalence, the Fay-Herriot model is...

The joint usage of unit- and area-level data for model-based small area estimation is investigated. The combination of levels within a single model encloses a variety of methodological problems. Firstly, it implies a critical decrease in degrees of freedom due to more model parameters that need...

Within this article, a generalized calibration approach is presented, which provides coherent and efficient estimates considering a high number of constraints on different hierarchical levels. These constraints may be obtained from different sources such as survey data, register data,...

Spatial dynamic microsimulations allow for the multivariate analysis of complex socioeconomic systems with geographic segmentation. For this, a synthetic replica of the system as base population is stochastically projected into future periods. Thereby, the projection is based on micro-level...

Microsimulations usually contain various transition processes such as births and deaths, relocations, and change in household characteristics. The estimation, organisation, and implementation of these processes can have a substantial impact on the simulation outcomes. We propose to evaluate a...