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Due to data limitations and the absence of testable, model-based predictions, theory and evidence on herd behavior are only loosely connected. This paper contributes towards closing this gap in the herding literature. We use numerical simulations of a herd model to derive new, theory-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486709
We study an investment experiment conducted with a representative sample of German households. Respondents invest in a safe asset and a risky asset whose return is tied to the German stock market. Experimental investments correlate with beliefs about stock market returns and exhibit desirable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010413601
Overall, 72 subjects invest their endowment in four risky assets. Each com-bination of assets yields the same expected return and variance of returns. Illusion of expertise prevails when one prefers nevertheless the self-selected portfolio. After being randomly assigned to groups of four...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408429
This paper explores the relationship between self-declared risk aversion of private investors and their willingness to hold diversified portfolios of financial assets. The analysis is based on household survey data from the German Socioeconomic Panel (SOEP) that provides a reliable measure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387313
This paper sheds new light on the impact of information risk and market stress on herding of institutional traders from both, a theoretical and an empirical perspective. Using numerical simulations of a herd model, we show that buy and sell herding intensity should increase with information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343757
During the last few years, retail derivative markets have observed a strong growth in a number of financial retail markets around the world. Using a unique data set, we confront in this paper several lines of arguments that have been provided to explain the observed popularity of the instrument...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135620
We provide an overview of research on the stock trading behavior of individual investors. This research documents that individual investors (1) underperform standard benchmarks (e.g., a low cost index fund), (2) sell winning investments while holding losing investments (the “disposition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114550
The existence of the momentum effect in stock returns has been documented for the U.S. (e.g., Jegadeesh and Titman, 1993) and many other national equity markets worldwide (e.g., Griffin et al., 2003). However, little is known about the active employment of momentum strategies among institutional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086580
By comparing the trading behavior of individual investors in different market conditions, this paper tests the theory that attribution bias - inflated confidence in one's own skill - creates overconfident traders. In a bull market, investors incorrectly attribute trading successes (luck) to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091873
Extant literature consistently documents that investors tilt their domestic equity portfolios towards regionally close stocks (local bias). We hypothesize that individual investors' local bias is not limited to the domestic sphere but instead also determines their international investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064735