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This paper deals with carbon price variations using a multi time scale decomposition based on the theory of wavelets. Our approach is based on wavelet packet transforms. This original approach enables us to identify that the periods which contribute the most to EUA spot, EUA futures, and CER...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010707370
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010708228
A longstanding question in macroeconomics is whether fuel prices react more to increases than to decreases of the price of oil. This paper analyzes the response of weekly gasoline and gasoil prices to oil prices in the U.S., the euro area and the four largest euro area countries (Germany,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010718772
Increases in the real price of oil not explained by changes in global oil production or by global real demand for commodities are associated with significant increases in economic policy uncertainty and its four components (the volume of newspaper coverage of policy uncertainty, CPI forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010719365
U.S. retail food price increases in recent years may seem large in nominal terms, but after adjusting for inflation have been quite modest even after the change in U.S. biofuel policies in 2006. In contrast, increases in the real prices of corn, soybeans, wheat and rice received by U.S. farmers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084483
Since 2000s, large fluctuations in non-energy commodity prices have become a concern among policymakers about price stability. Using local projections, this paper investigates the effects of commodity price shocks on inflation. We estimate impulse responses of the consumer price indexes (CPIs)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099534
This paper evaluates the degree of pass-through from oil price shocks to disaggregate U.S. consumer prices. We find significantly positive effects of the oil price shock only on energy-intensive CPIs, which imply that significantly positive, though quantitatively small, response of the total CPI...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110143
There have been substantial increases in liquidity in recent years and real oil prices have almost returned to the high levels achieved before the Global financial crisis. Unanticipated increases in global real M2 lead to statistically significant increases in real oil prices. The cumulative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110293
Increases in the real price of oil not explained by changes in global oil production or by global real demand for commodities are associated with significant increases in economic policy uncertainty. Oil-market specific demand shocks account for 30% of conditional variation in economic policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111894
According to the macro-econometric literature, the impact of exogenous oil price shocks on Inflation have greatly increased in the last two decades throughout OECD countries while the persistence of those shocks on long-term inflation, namely core inflation, has dramatically decreased. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112518