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risk rose dramatically during the World War I and World War II, was elevated in the early 1980s, and has drifted upward …We present a monthly indicator of geopolitical risk based on a tally of newspaper articles covering geopolitical … tensions, and examine its evolution and effects since 1985. The geopolitical risk (GPR) index spikes around the Gulf War, after …
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to examine the effects of crude oil volatility (VTOIL), the Geopolitical Risk Index (GPR), and the world uncertainty …. However, empirical analysis showed that the positive or negative shocks of geopolitical risk do not have any impact on the …
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