Showing 1 - 10 of 151
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015050285
We propose a statistical identification procedure for structural vector autoregressive (VAR) models that present a nonlinear dependence (at least) at the contemporaneous level. By applying and adapting results from the literature on causal discovery with continuous additive noise models to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013548855
We propose a statistical identification procedure for recursive structural vector autoregressive (VAR) models that present a nonlinear dependence (at least) at the contemporaneous level. By applying and adapting results from the literature on causal discovery with continuous additive noise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354572
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015338090
In all investment decisions it is important to determine the degree of uncertainty associated with the valuation of a company. We propose an original and robust methodology to company valuation which replaces the traditional point estimate of the conventional Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389331
This paper presents two stocks recommendation systems based on a stochastic characterization of firm present value that extends the conventional discounted cash flow analysis. In the Single-Stock Quantile recommendation system, the market price of a company's stocks is compared with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389333
A methodology for high dimensional causal inference in a time series context is introduced. It is assumed that there is a monotonic transformation of the data such that the dynamics of the transformed variables are described by a Gaussian vector autoregressive process. This is tantamount to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076837
When the number of variables is larger than the number of structural shocks driving the economy, the associated structural VAR system is said to be singular. We propose an identification method for singular structural VAR models contaminated by noise that combines a collapsing procedure with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081298
Starting from the theoretical observation that the identification problem of SVAR models is fundamentally a problem of variable aggregation, we propose a new identification method based on nowcasted macroeconomic data, i.e. on macroeconomic series reconstructed at high-frequency. The idea is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082003
When the number of variables is larger than the number of structural shocks driving the economy, the associated structural VAR system is said to be singular. We propose an identification method for singular structural VAR models contaminated by noise that combines a collapsing procedure with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226376