account impacts from oil price return and oil price volatility on forecast changes. The panel smooth transition regression …

This paper uses a panel VAR (PVAR) approach to estimating, analysing and forecasting price dynamics in four different …

We investigate the accuracy of ex ante assessments of vulnerability to poverty using cross-sectional data and panel … data. We use long-term panel data from Germany and apply different regression models, based on household covariates and … on cross-sectional data are much less accurate than those based on panel data, but for Germany, the accuracy of …

-period predictions ; hazard models ; panel data ; out-of-sample tests …