This paper shows that, in the canonical dynamic rational expectations equilibrium model, public information about future noise trading is potentially detrimental to contemporaneous price efficiency. Our result supports concerns that social sentiment investing, sparked by growing availability of...

We examine whether consumer confidence - as a proxy for individual investor sentiment - affects expected stock returns internationally in 18 industrialized countries. In line with recent evidence for the U.S., we find that sentiment negatively forecasts aggregate stock market returns on average...

We investigate the dynamics of prices, information and expectations in a competitive, noisy, dynamic asset pricing equilibrium model. We show that prices are farther away from (closer to) fundamentals compared with average expectations if and only if traders over- (under-) rely on public...

The Kyle (1985) model is extended to take into account market maker competition and the spread. It is shown that with a spread the Kyle model has a Nash equilibrium also with two market makers, not only with three or more, as shown in earlier research. The spread is endogenized, and two testable...

This paper examines how liquidity affects market efficiency in a market environment where securities' true values are revealed at a predetermined point in time. We employ differences in minimum tick sizes at the betting exchange Betfair as a source of exogenous variation in liquidity. The...

We investigate the dynamics of prices, information and expectations in a competitive, noisy, dynamic asset pricing equilibrium model with long-term investors. We argue that the fact that prices can score worse or better than consensus opinion in predicting the fundamentals is a product of...

In this paper, we provide evidence that the opening stock price contains noise on an everyday basis among all the NIFTY companies. However, we also find that the impact of noise does get eliminated from prices at the end of the trading day. We show how these seemingly contradictory twin...

This paper examines unique cultural features associated with the Japanese calendar known as rokuyo, which classifies days into six categories of varying levels of favorable/unfavorable sentiment days. Prior to the internationalization of Japanese financial markets in the early 1980s, rokuyo has...

We show in a simple framework that momentum trading can exist in equilibrium and momentum trading is profitable. Properties of the model fit the empirics well. First, the model captures in a parsimonious manner both short-term overreaction and long-term reversals. Second, it predicts that...