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This paper examines the relationship between spot and futures prices for energy commodities (crude oil, gasoline, heating oil markets and natural gas). In particular, we examine whether futures prices are (1) an unbiased and/or (2) accurate predictor of subsequent spot prices. We find that while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012752621
, EGARCH, ANN, and Wavelet Transform (Daubechies level 2 order 3)-ARMA models to forecast oil prices. Data on oil prices over … forecast the direction of oil prices. Surprisingly, the fundamentals, based on the US oil inventories seem to have a higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831989
This paper examines the relationship between spot and futures prices for energy commodities (crude oil, gasoline, heating oil markets and natural gas). In particular, we examine whether futures prices are (1) an unbiased and/or (2) accurate predictor of subsequent spot prices. We find that while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467654
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