produtores brasileiros, para garantir a proteção de preço do produto........This paper aimed to identify signs of overconfidence … perceive a risk that is lower than that of the market. Finally, the paper concludes that the overconfidence effect can …

communication. We also show that when the sender is biased, overconfidence can lead to more information transmission and welfare …

We provide a preference-based rationale for endogenous overconfidence. Horizon-dependent risk aversion, combined with a … possibility to forget, can generate overconfidence and excessive risk taking in equilibrium. An “anxiety prone” agent, who is more … results to the literature on empirically observed overconfidence and excessive risk taking in several domains of financial and …

other stylized effects such as size, book-to-market ratio and momentum. Consistent with investor overconfidence hypothesis …

’, estimating that it under-represents their score by 13%. However, they exhibit no such overconfidence in non-ego-relevant beliefs … ‘unlucky feeling’ is largely due to overconfident priors, with biased updating driving overconfidence only among the … than beliefs about a particular performance, contributing to the persistence of overconfidence. …

. The optimal agenda-setting power to the chairman is a strictly concave function of the degree of overconfidence. We also …