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This paper develops a theoretical framework that makes predictions on (a) the conditions under which a populist party decides to run and the policy position it takes and (b) voters' response under different electoral systems. We test these predictions using data on Italian municipal elections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012297337
reliable indications of the occurrence of welfare-chauvinistic effects that led to the success of the AfD in the 2017 election. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299813
an event-study approach which links election information shocks provided by official results of state-level elections in … conducted closely around state elections, we show that individual exposure to positive election information shocks significantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012268349
German state elections. We define election information shocks as deviations of actual AfD vote shares from pre-election polls …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063656
district for the Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), the major anti-immigrant party in the 2017 German parliamentary election … natives due to fiercer competition for jobs, housing and public goods. Notably, the vote distribution in the 2017 election … election results and district-specific features to study a potentially causal effect. As the share of foreigners in a district …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011944323
party leadership on electoral success. Factions are of interest or of principle. The probability of winning an election is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510666
Unlike much of the growing literature on political clientelism, this short paper contains mainly the author's general reflections on the broad issues of governance (or mis-governance including corruption), democracy, and state capacity that clientelism has an impact on. It then analyses how its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012590877
parties allow like-minded citizens to, first, share the cost of running in a public election and, second, coordinate on a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012652734
the surprise 2016 election of Trump to identify the effects of a shift in political power on one of the most consequential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800554
achieve two desirable properties: First, the overall election outcome corresponds to the popular vote. Second, most districts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306585