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By utilizing the techniques of multivariate cointegration and error correction models, we investigate the impact of the different exchange-rate regimes that spanned the 20th century on the bilateral reports between the UK and the US over the last 98 years.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005634451
This paper analyzes the integration process of European equity markets since the 1980s. Its central focus is on the role that EMU, and specifically, changes in exchange rate volatility, has played in this process of financial integration.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005634486
This paper examines the movements of exchange rates and capital inflows in an environment where an optimizing central bank pursuing the joint goals of inflation and output targeting engages in costly sterilization activities.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005634493
In this paper I investigate the relevance of the exchange rate regime for macroeconomic stability. I simulate hypothetical macroeconomic developments under different regimes in Sweden during the period 1972 -1996. The main question is how stable output would have been if Sweden had had a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005634503
Theory predicts that life cycle saving mechanisms will cause real exchange rate variations as the age structure varies. We investigate the impact of demography on the Swedish real exchange rate, measured as the real TCW index, during 1960 to 2000. Time series regressions show that the Swedish...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005634536
An often heard view is that exchange rate variability will decrease for a country that joins the EMU. This is not necessarily true. Both real and nominal exchange rate variability increase under certain circumstances when asymmetric demand shocks occur inside or outside the union. These results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005634554
This paper uses a combination of VAR and bootstrapping techniques to analyze whether the exchange rates of some New Member States of the EU have been used as output stabilizers (those of the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland), during 1993-2004. This question is important because it provides a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005634776
In this paper, I use GARCH model to explain the relationship between real exchange rate and its uncertainty using real exchange rate data of Singapore. The result supports no evidence that overvalued real exchange rate creates uncertainty of exchange rate policy in Singapore. This may give some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005635473
This paper investigates the pass-through of external shocks, i.e. oil price shocks, exchange rate shocks, and non-oil import price shocks to euro area inflation at different stages of distribution (import prices, producer prices and consumer prices). The analysis is based on a VAR model that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222290
This paper analyses the role of relative GDP and broad money supply (M2) in the determination of the yen-dollar exchange rate. The sample period spans from the first quarter of 1988 to the second quarter of 2004. Standard cointegration procedures are applied. No clear evidence of a long-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005225831