We investigate the diversification benefits of combining commodities with a traditional equity portfolio, while considering higher order statistical moments and seasonality. The literature suggests that the in-sample diversification benefits of commodities in portfolio optimization are not...

This paper investigates the seasonality patterns within various asset classes. We find that a strategy that buys the assets with the largest same-calendar-month past average returns (up to ten years) and sells the assets with the smallest same-calendar-month past average returns, earns...

In this article, we test the effects of the volatility of Gaussian distribution monthly returns of commodity futures contracts of a hedge fund portfolio. We test a linear Gaussian state space model and the Kalman filter ARMA(2,4) model of the natural logarithmic monthly market returns of the of...

A well-documented finding is that explicitly using jumps cannot efficiently enhance the predictability of crude oil price volatility. To address this issue, we find a phenomenon, "momentum of jumps" (MoJ), that the predictive ability of the jump component is persistent when forecasting the oil...