We provide a decomposition of nominal yields into real yields, expectations of future inflation and inflation risk premiums when real bonds or inflation swaps are unavailable or unreliable due to their relative illiquidity. We combine nominal yields with surveys of inflation forecasts within a...

Empirical measures of world consumption growth risk have failed to rationalize the cross-section of country equity returns. We propose a new factor, termed "the global consumption factor", to explain the patterns in risk premiums on international equity markets. We identify this factor as the...

Recent evidence suggests that younger people update beliefs more in response to aggregate shocks than older people. We embed this generational learning bias in an equilibrium model where agents have recursive preferences and are uncertain about exogenous aggregate dynamics. The departure from...