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The slow recovery following the 2008/2009 recession has led to renewed interest in the question whether deep recessions lower real GDP permanently or whether we can expect a rebound to earlier trend levels. Using a recent quantile autoregression unit root test we check whether shocks to real GDP...
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In cointegration analysis, it is customary to test the hypothesis of unit roots separately for each single time series. In this note, we point out that this procedure may imply large size distortion of the unit root tests if the DGP is a VAR. It is well-known that univariate models implied by a...
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We analyse the dynamics of public debt in Serbia between 2004Q3 and 2014Q3. Our results are as follows: i) traditional unit root tests do not reject the unit root hypothesis for public debt; ii) unit root tests robust to sample size and high AR (1) coefficient provide mixed evidence with respect...
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