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due to the fact that mortality rises with age and a large share of HCE is caused by proximity to death. As a consequence …, rising longevity - through falling mortality rates - may even reduce HCE. However, a weakness of previous empirical studies … over the period 1997-2009. Using (dynamic) panel data models, we find that age, mortality and five-year survival rates have …
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This paper proposes a new set of public health and long-term care expenditure projections till 2060, following up on the previous set of projections published in 2006. It disentangles health from longterm care expenditure as well as the demographic from the non-demographic drivers, and refines...
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