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This paper examines the stability, predictability, volatility, time varying risk premiums and persistence of shocks to … volatility in the ten Middle Eastern and African (ME&A) emerging stock markets. Although the majority of ME&A markets only … issue of predictability in the ME&A emerging markets, three different tests have been employed to draw conclusions. It was …
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We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...
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maturities and investment horizons and they are economically significant. Volatility trading strategies which condition on the …
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predictability. …
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